Slighty off-topic, but fun: the Quizmaster’s Dilemma. I learned about this a long time ago, and it is a quite well known case in game theory. Tonight I tried to explain this to Robin, our housemate, but he is still not convinced. So let me tell you the dilemma and challenge you to give your answers in the comments below (and of course: do not cheat by looking it up first…)<\/p>\n
Here we go: a candidate is about to win a prize in a quiz. He is presented with three curtains; one of them hides the prize, the other two are empty. The quizmaster asks the candidate to select a curtain and make his choice known. Before opening the curtain of choice, the quizmaster opens up one of the other curtains, one of which he knows that it is empty. He then asks the candidate if he wants to change to the other curtain. The dilemma is: does changing from curtain improve his chances of winning the prize or not?<\/p>\n
Let me know what you think and why!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Slighty off-topic, but fun: the Quizmaster’s Dilemma. I learned about this a long time ago, and it is a quite well known case in game …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[],"tags":[9],"class_list":["post-706","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","tag-fun"],"aioseo_notices":[],"author_meta":{"display_name":"Mark","author_link":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/author\/admin\/"},"featured_img":null,"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false,"post-thumbnail":false,"bravada-featured":false,"bravada-featured-lp":false,"bravada-featured-half":false,"bravada-featured-third":false,"bravada-lpbox-1":false,"bravada-lpbox-2":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Mark","author_link":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/author\/admin\/"},"uagb_comment_info":6,"uagb_excerpt":"Slighty off-topic, but fun: the Quizmaster’s Dilemma. I learned about this a long time ago, and it is a quite well known case in game …","coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"tags":{"linked":["fun<\/a>"],"unlinked":["fun<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":"6","relative_dates":{"created":"Geplaatst 17 jaar geleden","modified":"Bijgewerkt 17 jaar geleden"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Geplaatst op 14 januari 2009","modified":"Bijgewerkt op 15 januari 2009"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Geplaatst op 14 januari 2009 23:15","modified":"Bijgewerkt op 15 januari 2009 0:21"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p63Qy-bo","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":712,"url":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/2009\/01\/16\/quizmasters-dilemma-solved\/","url_meta":{"origin":706,"position":0},"title":"Quizmaster’s Dilemma solved","author":"Mark","date":"16 januari 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Okay, since there seem to be no more candidates for the Quizmaster's Dilemma, here is the solution. In order not to spoil it for those who read this blog later, please click on 'read more' to read more... The answer is that it is better to switch curtains. It will\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"fun\"","block_context":{"text":"fun","link":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/tag\/fun\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":534,"url":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/2008\/03\/21\/a-strange-world\/","url_meta":{"origin":706,"position":1},"title":"A strange world…","author":"Mark","date":"21 maart 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"I''m in a strange mood, or rather: a strange world... Today at 12.21 I put an ad online to sell our car. Five minutes later I was in another world of suspense, deals, money, maybe even crime... About one minute after the ad was online, the phone rang. I could\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"fun\"","block_context":{"text":"fun","link":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/tag\/fun\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1443,"url":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/2011\/12\/01\/from-one-hell-to-the-other-and-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":706,"position":2},"title":"From one hell to the other, and back","author":"Mark","date":"1 december 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"It was a lovely, touching meeting with M. tonight. We got to know him a couple of months ago in church; a very friendly, tenderhearted young man with a lovely wife and son. He had found the church by the relentless outreach of fellow church members to the refugee center\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blog"","block_context":{"text":"Blog","link":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/c\/blog\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":373,"url":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/2006\/11\/22\/building-better-senders\/","url_meta":{"origin":706,"position":3},"title":"Building better senders","author":"Mark","date":"22 november 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"International work continues, even after returning to Holland yesterday. Today, together with some of our leaders, I met up with Myles Wilson, author of 'Funding the Family Business' and widely known crack in the area of raising personal support. We were all impressed by his way of working, the strong\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Agap\u00e8"","block_context":{"text":"Agap\u00e8","link":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/c\/agape\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":615,"url":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/2008\/09\/24\/understanding-grace\/","url_meta":{"origin":706,"position":4},"title":"Understanding grace","author":"Mark","date":"24 september 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"It happened last night: watching someone really understand grace is a beautiful thing. We know that everything in the Law was written for those who are under its power. The Law says these things to stop anyone from making excuses and to let God show that the whole world is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "algemeen"","block_context":{"text":"algemeen","link":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/c\/algemeen\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":189,"url":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/2004\/11\/02\/van-gogh-is-dead\/","url_meta":{"origin":706,"position":5},"title":"Van Gogh is dead","author":"Mark","date":"2 november 2004","format":false,"excerpt":"Today Theo van Gogh was killed. A brutal attack, he was shot this morning while riding his bike through Amsterdam. Apparently an Islamic young man both shot and stabbed him, making sure he would not survive. I can't understand it, it is so far off my morals and values that\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "algemeen"","block_context":{"text":"algemeen","link":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/c\/algemeen\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/706","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=706"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/706\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=706"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=706"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/boerenroem.nl\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=706"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}